Politician · country

Olaf Scholz on China

Pragmatic engagement (moderate)

TL;DR

Olaf Scholz maintains a pragmatic policy balancing economic partnership with China against acknowledging systemic rivalry and risks.

Key Points

  • He continues to voice support for Germany's official China strategy, which describes China as a partner, economic competitor, and systemic rival.

  • Scholz strongly opposes protectionism and a tariff war between the EU and China, calling instead for a constructive resolution to trade frictions, including EV tariffs.

  • During a meeting with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi on February 15, 2025, Scholz pledged to enhance exchanges, dialogue, and strategic cooperation with Beijing.

Summary

Olaf Scholz's core position on China is characterized by a commitment to maintaining and strengthening bilateral economic ties, viewing China as an indispensable trade partner for Germany and Europe. This stance is evidenced by his continued high-level engagement, including frequent official visits accompanied by large business delegations, aimed at securing cooperation and market access. He notably advocates for 'de-risking' through diversification rather than 'decoupling,' emphasizing the need to reduce one-sided dependencies, especially in critical areas like raw materials and future technologies, while opposing protectionist measures like outright trade barriers.

This position often contrasts with more hawkish elements within his coalition and has been described as resistant to linking policy heavily with human rights concerns, which his foreign minister has attempted to push. Scholz prioritizes a differentiated approach, seeking areas of mutual interest like climate change while insisting on reciprocity in market access and intellectual property rights. His approach has sometimes been perceived as prioritizing economic stability and company interests, leading to criticism that Germany is reluctant to exercise its full political influence within the EU on critical issues.

Key Quotes

We do not want "decoupling" from China.

Frequently Asked Questions

Olaf Scholz's current stance is a pragmatic one, emphasizing the need to continue necessary economic engagement with China while simultaneously pursuing a strategy of 'de-risking.' He frames the relationship as one that must be managed carefully due to increasing systemic rivalry and global tensions.

While the government officially adopted a strategy acknowledging China as a systemic rival, Scholz's actions have often been perceived as less assertive than some coalition partners desired. His approach generally favors economic continuity over significant confrontation on issues like human rights.

Olaf Scholz expressed opposition to protectionism and stated he does not support an EU tariff war with China regarding electric vehicles. He called on the EU and China to resolve these trade frictions promptly and jointly uphold the free trade system.

Sources6

* This is not an exhaustive list of sources.