Politician · country

Fumio Kishida on China

Constructive balance (strong)

TL;DR

Fumio Kishida seeks a constructive and stable relationship with China while strengthening military deterrence with allies.

Key Points

  • He reaffirmed commitment to a 'strategic, mutually beneficial relationship' during a November 2023 meeting with President Xi Jinping.

  • His administration decided to increase Japan's defense spending to 2% of GDP by 2027 following the revision of three security documents in December 2022.

  • He stated in 2022 that Japan is ready to work with China to build a constructive and stable relationship for the next 50 years.

  • He expressed concern over China's military expansion and lack of transparency, noting the need to ask them to follow the international code of conduct.

Summary

Fumio Kishida's core position on China is to pursue a 'constructive and stable relationship' while simultaneously bolstering Japan's defense capabilities and strengthening alliances to deter potential aggression. He has reaffirmed commitment to the principles in the four China-Japan political documents and stated Japan has no intention to decouple its economy from China's, emphasizing mutual benefit and cooperation in areas like the digital economy and green development.

However, his administration is simultaneously driven by a recognition of China's growing military power, which has led to significant defense policy shifts. This includes increasing defense spending to 2% of GDP and enhancing military cooperation with the US, such as establishing a joint command headquarters. He has also stressed that Japan must clearly articulate its position amid China's "information warfare" and has consistently maintained the position that the Taiwan issue must be resolved peacefully, as stated in the Japan-China Joint Statement.

Frequently Asked Questions

Fumio Kishida aims for a 'constructive and stable relationship' with China, guided by the four political documents between the two nations. He has stated Japan has no intention to decouple economically and seeks to deepen practical cooperation in shared interest areas. However, this approach is balanced with a firm stance on security matters.

While his initial factional alignment suggested a more liberal approach, his actions have been strongly shaped by the deteriorating security environment, leading to significant defense enhancements. His diplomatic approach has maintained a push for dialogue and stability while simultaneously hardening the stance on issues requiring firmness, such as the Taiwan Strait. This reflects a consistent strategy of deterrence and engagement.

Fumio Kishida has expressed concern over China's military expansion, particularly its nuclear and missile capabilities, which are expanding rapidly without adequate transparency. He views the increasing intensity of Chinese military activities in the region as contributing to a 'severe and complicated' security environment for Japan.

Sources8

* This is not an exhaustive list of sources.