Andrew Bailey on Brexit
TL;DR
Andrew Bailey views Brexit as a structural negative, urging closer EU ties to minimize foreseeable economic harm.
Key Points
The changing trade relationship with the EU has weighed on the level of potential supply.
He has called on officials to seek deeper trade deals with the European Union to improve growth and "minimize negative effects" of Brexit, as stated in May 2025.
The Governor stated that he does not take a position on Brexit per se, but points out the consequences for the economy, particularly trade openness.
Summary
Andrew Bailey, in his capacity as Governor of the Bank of England, maintains that Brexit has imposed a negative impact on the UK’s economic growth "for the foreseeable future." He consistently points to the changing trade relationship with the European Union as a factor that has weighed on the level of potential supply in the economy, noting that the effect seems greater on goods trade than services. While he asserts that as a public official he takes no position on Brexit itself, he strongly advocates for actions that minimize these negative economic consequences, framing them as objective observations on supply-side efficiency.
He has explicitly urged the government to pursue deeper ties with the EU, welcoming steps to reset relations, such as the recent agreement with Brussels to reduce border checks. Bailey contends that openness to trade is a critical determinant of productivity, and greater economic fragmentation makes the Bank of England's job of controlling inflation harder due to more inflexible supply-side conditions. He emphasized that rebuilding relations should be pursued where possible, while respecting the political decision made by the British people.
Key Quotes
“... we must be alert to and welcome opportunities to rebuild relations while respecting the decision of the British people.
Frequently Asked Questions
Andrew Bailey has consistently stated that Brexit will have a negative impact on the UK's economic growth for the foreseeable future. He links this to trade restrictions that have lowered the UK's potential growth rate over the past decade.
Yes, Andrew Bailey has urged the government to strike a deeper trade deal with the European Union to improve growth. He welcomes steps to reset relations and cooperate more closely on areas like financial services.
Andrew Bailey has noted that as a civil servant, he does not take a position on whether the Brexit decision itself was wrong. However, he strongly suggests that everything possible should be done to minimize its negative economic effects.
Sources8
Brexit to weigh on UK economy for foreseeable future, BoE's Bailey says
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey Talks Trade, Brexit
UK Economy Will Adjust to Brexit Shock Over Time, Bailey Says
Brexit impact on UK economy negative, says Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey
Brexit is likely to continue to weigh on British economic growth over the coming
Bank of England governor urges deeper ties with EU to 'minimise' Brexit impact
Growth − speech by Andrew Bailey
Brexit impact on UK economy 'negative for foreseeable future,' Bailey says
* This is not an exhaustive list of sources.